Surprised-Spring
0xf53786f1dd5bd452def94f214ea6b7ebb76bd69e
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$60.56
Total PnL
$-503.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?
61 shares @ 16.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$60.56
$50.56
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
5285 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-239.99
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
1261 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
602 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?
459 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
455 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
197 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-19.95
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 10?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
136 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B$5.00Mar 17, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$100.00Mar 16, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$50.00Mar 16, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$40.00Mar 16, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$30.00Mar 15, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$10.00Mar 15, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$20.00Mar 15, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMGame Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+2.5)$35.71Mar 8, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?$10.00Mar 7, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?$10.00Mar 7, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+2.5)$5.00Mar 7, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$20.00Mar 7, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$10.00Mar 7, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$10.00Mar 7, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 10?$10.00Mar 7, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 9?$10.00Mar 7, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Charlie Kirk" in March?$10.00Mar 7, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$9.50Mar 7, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$10.00Mar 6, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$10.00Mar 6, 18:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $19.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 13:31 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 05:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.