0xf53a1cbbd916f4ea9b18ee6eda8d2e0edc457970
0xf53a1cbbd916f4ea9b18ee6eda8d2e0edc457970
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$62.24
Total PnL
$-26.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?
31 shares @ 97.5¢·now 77.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$23.94
$-6.06
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
49 shares @ 49.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$23.76
$-0.24
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?
32 shares @ 68.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$11.49
$-10.51
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 21?
139 shares @ 9.0¢·now 2.2¢·exp May 21, 2026$3.06
$-9.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 21?$13.33May 15, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?$22.49May 15, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?$30.05May 15, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$27.22May 15, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$9.40May 9, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?$0.00Apr 29, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 10-15%?$0.00Apr 29, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 21?$29.49Apr 21, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$4.82Apr 17, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 15-20%?$4.36Apr 17, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 15-20%?$10.00Apr 17, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$10.45Apr 17, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.96Apr 17, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.96Apr 17, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$8.45Apr 16, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$8.45Apr 16, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$17.98Apr 16, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?$3.06Apr 16, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?$22.00Apr 16, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 10-15%?$25.00Apr 16, 02:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $15.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 23:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 03:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".