0xf53e16df8ef8846c04920b34906ba77c64e48bfb
0xf53e16df8ef8846c04920b34906ba77c64e48bfb
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-110.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15?
20437 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-45.78
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
962 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
248 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.97
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 12-18?
204 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?
35 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?
10 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?$6.90Jan 30, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?$5.00Jan 30, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?$12.42Jan 29, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 12-18?$10.00Jan 16, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLFogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?$15.12Jan 16, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$11.86Jan 16, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 15?$20.00Jan 15, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 15?$20.00Jan 15, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 15?$5.80Jan 15, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?$10.00Jan 15, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?$10.00Jan 15, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$10.00Jan 14, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$32.59Dec 31, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Dec 31, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$20.00Dec 30, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$10.00Dec 29, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$20.00Dec 29, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$67.00Dec 29, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$48.00Dec 25, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$2.97Dec 7, 17:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $17.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 7, 17:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 09:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.