Doting-Contention
0xf543fa1fd79da0fcfee1cc8ead5bb23370def858
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$52.67
Total PnL
$-0.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
GTA VI released before November 2026?
36 shares @ 97.5¢·now 96.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$34.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.94
$-0.06
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- NO
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$1.98
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.4% in July?$2.04Jul 25, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$600.00Jul 25, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$5.00Jul 25, 13:05 UTC
- SPLITSolana Up or Down - July 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$600.00Jul 25, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$3.45Jul 25, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$0.00Jul 25, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMZuckerberg divorce in 2025?$0.00Jul 25, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$1.04Jul 17, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released before November 2026?$35.04Jul 17, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$1.04Jul 17, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?$11.05Jul 17, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $200 in March?$964.80Mar 24, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$2.15Mar 24, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$3.10Mar 24, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$3.92Mar 24, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$4.06Mar 24, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $200 in March?$964.80Mar 21, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$4.00Dec 2, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$3.00Dec 2, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$2.00Dec 2, 21:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $90.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 12, 12:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 13:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.