Unfinished-Buyer
0xf5487d15686fcbb8a9d24625a9455b6c2f55af70
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$425 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $225-$230 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185-$190 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?
369 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 20?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 21?
68 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
21 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Shedeur Sanders start a game for the Browns?
19 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close at <$425 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$1.00Nov 21, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close at $225-$230 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$1.00Nov 21, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185-$190 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$1.00Nov 21, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 21?$1.00Nov 21, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$1.00Nov 21, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$1.00Nov 21, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 21?$1.00Nov 20, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on November 21?$1.00Nov 20, 23:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 20?$0.00Nov 20, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 20?$1.00Nov 20, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 20?$1.00Nov 20, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 20?$1.00Nov 20, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?$1.00Nov 20, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shedeur Sanders start a game for the Browns?$1.00Nov 20, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla reach $495 in November?$1.00Nov 20, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 21?$1.00Nov 20, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 20?$1.00Nov 20, 15:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 20, 15:50 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 21, 23:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.