Notable-Median
0xf555bbccf9549fa2fb513140744dfbe0f057b2d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
157
Open notional
$38.33
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$279.64
Win rate
58%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 157- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
200 shares @ 19.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.00
$-13.00
- YES
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
77 shares @ 14.4¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.65
$-1.49
- YES
Tucker Carlson federally charged?
75 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.27
$-2.47
- YES
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
26 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.18
$0.13
- YES
Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
386 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.77
$-2.79
- YES
Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
750 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.37
$-1.87
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
53 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.08
$-0.96
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106K on August 30 at 4PM ET?
3000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $110,000 September 29-October 5?
1723 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-18.57
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
1300 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLMcDonald's CEO out by June 30?$8.71Jun 8, 14:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?$0.80May 27, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?$0.18May 27, 11:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $3.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 20:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.