Impolite-Zipper
0xf5595d8d78184baaa619bb5ff7367325bfe836f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
4+ Trump vs. Harris debates before election?
137 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Florida Presidential Election?
126 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Neither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?
119 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win New York Presidential Election?
118 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
115 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Virginia US Senate Election?
113 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will Tetairoa McMillan win the Heisman Trophy?
111 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?
106 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will a Democrat win Nebraska US Senate Election?
103 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
103 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.13Jan 30, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League?$0.01Jan 16, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League?$0.04Jan 16, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League?$0.04Jan 16, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League?$0.04Jan 16, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dynamo Kyiv win the UEFA Europa League?$0.12Dec 12, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tetairoa McMillan win the Heisman Trophy?$0.03Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tetairoa McMillan win the Heisman Trophy?$0.08Nov 29, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Virginia US Senate Election?$0.11Nov 5, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Nebraska US Senate Election?$0.10Nov 5, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Florida Presidential Election?$0.13Oct 28, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWest Ham United wins the Premier League?$0.11Oct 27, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win New York Presidential Election?$0.12Oct 27, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUY4+ Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$0.14Oct 26, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?$0.11Oct 25, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$0.10Oct 25, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$0.12Oct 24, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.12Oct 24, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jackson Arnold win the Heisman Trophy?$0.06Oct 14, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Michigan Presidential Election?$0.09Oct 14, 14:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $72.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 14, 12:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 08:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.