Slippery-Nurse-Dolman
0xf55ac8335755e86e7a947156286bed246d0ada31
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-984.37
Realised
$-32.09
Win rate
46%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
709 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 24, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
400 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.09
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
212 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-209.88
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 24, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
184 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
144 shares @ 99.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-142.74
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
138 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
137 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-135.63
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on February 23?
99 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
87 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-86.13
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
72 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$12.39Jul 22, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$12.84Jul 22, 01:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$2.08Jul 22, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$2.16Jul 22, 01:09 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$106.02Jul 22, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$1.93Jul 22, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$2.17Jul 22, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$5.10Jul 22, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$2.93Jul 22, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$2.00Jul 22, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$5.00Jul 22, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$5.00Jul 22, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$11.62Jul 22, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$1.00Jul 22, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$0.94Jul 22, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$0.23Jul 22, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$1.01Jul 22, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$4.24Jul 22, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$9.23Jul 22, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$0.92Jul 22, 00:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
46% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 00:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 01:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.