Huge-Split
0xf56a854169654c0d34e219999d092a3eda52525d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.69
Total PnL
$4.13
Realised
$10.34
Win rate
100%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
5 shares @ 34.5¢·now 13.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.69
$-1.04
- DOWN
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on February 25?
210 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.32
- YES
Will ZachXBT release his investigation on March 1?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
State of the Union Bingo - Card 3
110 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 28?
101 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
No release by March 1
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will James Talarico and Wesley Hunt be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
100 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.54
- DOWN
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 25?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- NO
Will Hakeem Jeffries applaud during Trump's State of the Union?
60 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.12
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 25?
10 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill no listed leader be out before 2027?$0.06May 13, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no listed leader be out before 2027?$0.02May 13, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.73May 13, 05:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico and Wesley Hunt be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$0.76Feb 28, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico and Wesley Hunt be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$0.10Feb 27, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYState of the Union Bingo - Card 3$0.11Feb 26, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLState of the Union Bingo - Card 3$0.95Feb 26, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo release by March 1$0.05Feb 26, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo release by March 1$0.02Feb 26, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo release by March 1$0.03Feb 26, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLState of the Union Bingo - Card 3$0.01Feb 26, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ZachXBT release his investigation on February 28?$0.07Feb 26, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ZachXBT release his investigation on February 28?$0.01Feb 26, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ZachXBT release his investigation on February 28?$0.02Feb 26, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico and Wesley Hunt be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$0.05Feb 26, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ZachXBT release his investigation on March 1?$0.11Feb 26, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ZachXBT release his investigation on March 1?$0.09Feb 26, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hakeem Jeffries applaud during Trump's State of the Union?$0.12Feb 26, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ZachXBT release his investigation on February 28?$0.31Feb 26, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla dip to $383 in February?$3.90Feb 26, 03:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $0.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 15:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 06:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.