Jubilant-Chair
0xf56ac8f3879fe895b671d7be630deff89b95abef
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$32.63
Total PnL
$-260.45
Realised
$-0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
323 shares @ 16.2¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.27
$-19.85
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
49 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.36
$-17.64
- YES
Trump out as President by March 31?
2400 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
1686 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
331 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-47.77
- YES
Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in March?
260 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?
211 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?
158 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
91 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$10.91Mar 2, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$9.00Mar 2, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$6.00Mar 2, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$15.00Mar 2, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?$10.00Mar 2, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?$6.00Mar 2, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?$4.00Mar 2, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$18.00Mar 2, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in March?$13.00Mar 2, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$15.00Mar 2, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$12.00Mar 2, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$15.86Mar 2, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$5.84Mar 2, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLOdds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?$1.57Mar 2, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?$8.45Mar 2, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$119.13Feb 28, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$28.59Feb 7, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$28.59Feb 7, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$22.62Jan 31, 23:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $17.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 00:09 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 23:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.