Utilized-Inheritance-Noun
0xf56c2363d70161b81dad17718b0e5f010286e1b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$241.67
Total PnL
$-196.62
Realised
$-12.66
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 8?
113 shares @ 47.9¢·now 46.5¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$52.55
$-1.63
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 8?
137 shares @ 12.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$35.04
$18.55
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7?
56 shares @ 43.5¢·now 49.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$27.32
$3.05
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on August 7?
166 shares @ 9.3¢·now 15.7¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$25.92
$10.56
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7?
40 shares @ 55.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$18.20
$-3.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 8?
85 shares @ 22.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$17.43
$-1.27
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 8?
20 shares @ 59.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$12.10
$0.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8?
20 shares @ 60.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$11.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 7?
20 shares @ 47.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$9.30
$-0.10
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 8?
20 shares @ 41.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$9.20
$1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 8?$11.88Aug 7, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 8?$18.70Aug 7, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6?$7.44Aug 7, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 8?$15.27Aug 7, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 6?$20.00Aug 7, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 8?$8.60Aug 7, 02:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 8?$8.60Aug 7, 02:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 8?$4.30Aug 7, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 8?$1.44Aug 7, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 8?$2.40Aug 7, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 8?$0.55Aug 7, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 8?$11.80Aug 7, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 8?$4.13Aug 7, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 8?$9.41Aug 7, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 8?$8.20Aug 7, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 8?$1.00Aug 7, 01:02 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.06Aug 7, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 8?$7.28Aug 7, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 8?$34.44Aug 7, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8?$8.82Aug 7, 00:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
36% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $7.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 6, 17:13 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 03:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.