Gigantic-Predecessor
0xf56ccbb9d8158ae1dda67207d1f76acf2f81ad84
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$221.96
Total PnL
$-101.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?
150 shares @ 2.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$148.35
$145.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on July 25?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$13.00
$10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 25?
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$12.88
$11.38
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 25?
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$9.75
$8.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 25?
100 shares @ 0.5¢·now 9.1¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$9.10
$8.60
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 25?
150 shares @ 3.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$6.00
$1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 25?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$4.00
$3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 25?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$4.00
$3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 25?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$2.75
$1.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on July 25?
150 shares @ 0.2¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$2.33
$2.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 25?$0.00Jul 25, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 25?$0.00Jul 25, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 25?$0.00Jul 25, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on July 25?$0.02Jul 25, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on July 25?$0.08Jul 25, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on July 25?$0.07Jul 25, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 25?$0.00Jul 25, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 25?$0.00Jul 25, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 25?$0.00Jul 25, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 25?$0.00Jul 25, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 25?$0.00Jul 25, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 25?$0.00Jul 25, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 25?$0.00Jul 25, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 26?$0.20Jul 25, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 25?$0.00Jul 25, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 25?$0.00Jul 25, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 25?$0.00Jul 25, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 25?$0.00Jul 25, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 25?$0.00Jul 25, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 25?$0.00Jul 25, 07:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 07:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 07:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.