Thoughtful-Scarification
0xf577efc8706a87c36806eb64c28c631fa29e64b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Krzysztof Stanowski be the next President of Poland?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Hwang Kyo-ahn win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Magdalena Biejat be the next President of Poland?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hwang Kyo-ahn win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?$1.00May 22, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill John-Ion Banu-Muscel win the Romanian presidential election?$0.00May 22, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Krzysztof Stanowski be the next President of Poland?$2.00May 9, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Heidi Reichinnek be the next Chancellor of Germany?$0.00May 9, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Green Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?$0.00May 9, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John-Ion Banu-Muscel win the Romanian presidential election?$1.00Apr 14, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Biejat be the next President of Poland?$1.00Apr 14, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Peyton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?$0.50Apr 14, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?$1.40Apr 2, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jude Bellingham be the top Champions League scorer?$0.67Apr 2, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.00Mar 31, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peyton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?$1.00Mar 29, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jude Bellingham be the top Champions League scorer?$1.00Mar 29, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$0.00Mar 29, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bam Adebayo lead the NBA in Rebounds?$0.33Mar 29, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Dallas Mavericks win the Western Conference?$0.50Mar 29, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.00Mar 13, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Dallas Mavericks win the Western Conference?$1.00Mar 13, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$1.90Mar 13, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Portland Trail Blazers finish with the best regular season record?$0.00Mar 13, 14:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 19:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 17:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".