Adolescent-Bread
0xf58076663a68ba792c6db538445afb7f63f4d52d
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.04
Total PnL
$-9.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1PM ET
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
26 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
7 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
5 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
Recent activity
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.28May 14, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$0.00Apr 11, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$44.28Apr 11, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$44.28Apr 11, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$33.39Apr 11, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$33.39Apr 11, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$10.27Apr 11, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$5.00Apr 11, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$6.00Apr 11, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$21.28Apr 11, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C or below on April 8?$0.00Apr 8, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$2.34Apr 8, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$1.00Apr 8, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$0.00Apr 8, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$0.00Apr 8, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$3.34Apr 8, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$3.15Apr 8, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?$0.00Apr 8, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?$0.00Apr 8, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?$2.33Apr 8, 08:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $5.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 18:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 12:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.