Outrageous-Kendo
0xf5856db07420476502b29b739d89ebf0b98baae1
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
103
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-335.66
Realised
$0.51
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 103- YES
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?
400 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-16.80
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
313 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-43.87
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
52 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 14?
21 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.90
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 17?
20 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 17?
20 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 17?
20 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 13?
16 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 15?
15 shares @ 39.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 10?
14 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$45.00Jul 9, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?$14.65Jul 9, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?$2.21Jul 9, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$3.87May 22, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C or higher on May 17?$0.31May 16, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C or higher on May 18?$0.14May 16, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 17?$0.57May 16, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 16?$0.78May 16, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 16?$0.33May 16, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on May 16?$0.94May 16, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 16?$1.24May 16, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 16?$1.99May 16, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 16?$2.54May 16, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on May 18?$2.70May 16, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on May 16?$4.16May 16, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 16?$5.29May 16, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 17?$0.80May 16, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on May 18?$2.90May 16, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C or higher on May 18?$1.05May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on May 18?$1.28May 15, 23:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 09:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 07:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.