Long-Contagion
0xf58b4cf0be58f7e366ecb8050218574209dfd31a
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$1.61
Total PnL
$-339.77
Realised
$-4.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-16?
2 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$1.61
$0.37
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-10-23?
101 shares @ 69.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
84 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will West Ham vs. Brentford end in a draw?
75 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-22.50
- YES
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-10-22?
64 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-6.92
- NO
Kristin Cabot out as Astronomer CPO in July?
62 shares @ 59.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-37.05
- YES
Will Udinese win on 2025-10-20?
49 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-20.09
- YES
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-23?
35 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-21.09
- YES
Will New York City FC win on 2025-10-18?
33 shares @ 49.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-16.48
- YES
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?
31 shares @ 35.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-10.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?$1.00Dec 15, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-16?$1.24Dec 15, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-08?$2.24Dec 11, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-08?$1.50Nov 8, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08?$1.50Nov 8, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?$3.28Nov 8, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leeds United win on 2025-10-24?$7.27Nov 8, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?$5.99Oct 24, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leeds United win on 2025-10-24?$4.00Oct 24, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?$5.00Oct 23, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?$7.20Oct 23, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Midtjylland win on 2025-10-23?$22.20Oct 23, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2025-10-23?$15.00Oct 23, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2025-10-23?$45.00Oct 23, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Porto win on 2025-10-23?$10.00Oct 23, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Midtjylland win on 2025-10-23?$10.00Oct 23, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2025-10-23?$10.00Oct 23, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lille OSC win on 2025-10-23?$21.09Oct 23, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?$44.09Oct 22, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?$7.00Oct 22, 20:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $15.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 19, 20:45 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 20:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".