Webbed-Jasmine
0xf5924a7c63f4f957f38290bdd96524592f9811ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$22.47
Total PnL
$-242.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Obama divorce in 2025?
22 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$22.47
$2.47
- YES
Will Karla Sofía Gascón win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
1058 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Cynthia Erivo win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Colman Domingo win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?
314 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?
241 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will "Emilia Pérez" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
214 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "I'm Still Here" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
167 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Ralph Fiennes win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?
161 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Yura Borisov win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Kieran Culkin win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon go on Daily Show before April?$13.70Oct 14, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Pope be Black?$22.47Oct 14, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNegative GDP growth in Q2 2025?$20.00Apr 22, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Pope be Black?$20.00Apr 22, 00:42 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Pope in 2025?$16.43Apr 22, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?$7.39Mar 3, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colman Domingo win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?$2.00Mar 3, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025?$19.77Mar 3, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Wicked' win 4-5 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?$1.61Mar 3, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?$5.00Mar 3, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ralph Fiennes win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?$5.00Mar 3, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLMH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30?$10.46Mar 3, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karla Sofía Gascón win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?$1.00Mar 2, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "I'm Still Here" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$2.00Mar 2, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Emilia Pérez" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$2.00Mar 2, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$5.00Mar 2, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$10.00Mar 2, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLTim Cook out as Apple CEO in 2025?$19.99Mar 2, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30?$10.00Feb 28, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon go on Daily Show before April?$10.00Feb 28, 13:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $12.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 01:20 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 14, 05:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.