Bright-Republic
0xf5a4447b1463fe2bf418c6925772906dee9a879d
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.74
Total PnL
$-105.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
105 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.74
$-39.26
- NO
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 1?
1999 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
101 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 1?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$10.92Mar 23, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$30.34Mar 20, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$434.78Mar 4, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?$93.46Mar 3, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$20.00Mar 3, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?$15.00Mar 3, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$40.00Mar 3, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$16.00Mar 3, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei tweet again by March 1?$20.00Feb 28, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 1?$10.00Feb 28, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$106.50Feb 28, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$100.00Feb 21, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$19.17Feb 21, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$10.00Feb 21, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$10.00Feb 21, 21:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $30.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 21:23 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 13:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.