Light-Roof
0xf5a4e60cda2c5fbef42ff9c268f8b736b1aa1d88
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$4.62
Total PnL
$-5.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia enter Toretske by January 31?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 3-9?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 26-September 1?
18 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?$1.00Jan 17, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Toretske by January 31?$1.00Jan 17, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 17, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?$1.00Jan 17, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.05Jan 17, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.14Jan 17, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$2.04Jan 17, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$5.08Jan 17, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$5.00Nov 1, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$2.00Nov 1, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$1.00Nov 1, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by October 3?$1.01Nov 1, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$1.01Nov 1, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMDoubleZero FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.02Nov 1, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Occhiuto win Calabria Regional Election?$1.03Nov 1, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Yampil' by October 31?$1.16Nov 1, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$1.22Nov 1, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4600 in October?$1.27Nov 1, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?$1.28Nov 1, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Dovha Balka by October 31?$1.32Nov 1, 07:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 2, 11:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 17, 08:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.