Fearful-Slash
0xf5b2ff0b60d92cf0825e93f2dc9f961d88062bf3
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$597.08
Total PnL
$-10.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 10?
592 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$592.00
$0.59
- NO
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
2 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
1 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 10?$591.45May 10, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 5?$32.08May 10, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 5?$32.05May 5, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 20-26?$551.96May 5, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$1.02Apr 26, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$1.08Apr 26, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.11Apr 26, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.15Apr 26, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.18Apr 26, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.22Apr 26, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.31Apr 26, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.40Apr 26, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.50Apr 26, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$2.01Apr 26, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$2.72Apr 26, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$23.34Apr 26, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 20-26?$551.45Apr 26, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$1.00Apr 16, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$1.00Apr 16, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$1.00Apr 16, 00:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $49.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 10:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 20:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.