Yearly-Lawsuit
0xf5b531b400b3a0edecd6af18262ee984151d93b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-1.1K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
9615 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-249.99
- YES
Will Elden Ring: Nightreign win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
1910 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.91
- YES
Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
1810 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.47
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
940 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-69.43
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
635 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.27
- YES
Will Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
589 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-37.08
- YES
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Crown" during Syria President events on November 10?
451 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.91
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?
180 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by March 31?$1.00Mar 28, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.27Mar 14, 13:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.27Mar 14, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.34Mar 9, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by March 13?$1.34Mar 9, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 13?$1.46Mar 9, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMNo release by March 1$0.00Feb 26, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo release by March 1$5.62Feb 26, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$75.75Jan 27, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$101.00Jan 26, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on January 20?$1.74Jan 19, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on January 19?$1.75Jan 19, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on January 19?$23.00Jan 19, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 19?$1.35Jan 18, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 19?$1.00Jan 18, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.33Jan 18, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.30Jan 9, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Brazil raise the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?$1.30Jan 9, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil raise the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?$3.48Jan 4, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?$1.62Dec 14, 11:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $9.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 21:09 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 19:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".