Idealistic-Vaccine
0xf5b59dc92c0e50da45ff246e9ad0e18e727f9cbb
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-84.01
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
3624 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-61.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
880 shares @ 39.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-349.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
735 shares @ 58.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-430.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
656 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-295.18
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
556 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.71
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
392 shares @ 50.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-196.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
312 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-29.81
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
294 shares @ 50.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-147.66
Recent activity
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by March 31?$13.33Mar 9, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?$25.88Mar 9, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Turkey strike Iran by March 31?$22.61Mar 9, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$21.48Mar 9, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$29.22Mar 9, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?$27.00Mar 9, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$28.61Mar 9, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$27.08Mar 9, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Turkey in March?$33.90Mar 9, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?$53.19Mar 9, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$50.00Mar 9, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?$40.00Mar 9, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$50.00Mar 9, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$15.00Mar 8, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$134.90Mar 8, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$181.78Mar 6, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$26.24Mar 6, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Turkey in March?$50.00Mar 6, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$100.00Mar 6, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$100.00Mar 6, 01:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $107.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 07:57 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 23:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.