Sad-Garden
0xf5bc6fe7be5b56e6bcfdaadd61a9926c35d29b43
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-537.43
Realised
$4.54
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
1076 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
567 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-14.88
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 479 million subscribers by April 30?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?
313 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?
294 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$1.06May 1, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C or higher on May 1?$1.05May 1, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$2.22May 1, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$1.27May 1, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$1.07May 1, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$1.06May 1, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$1.06May 1, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$5.60May 1, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$0.00May 1, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$1.90May 1, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$1.07May 1, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$1.06May 1, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$2.42May 1, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$1.40May 1, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$1.21May 1, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$2.11May 1, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.07May 1, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$3.19May 1, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$7.06May 1, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$2.10May 1, 06:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 04:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 07:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.