Urban-Circumference
0xf5bf8810a81eb59e705fe9fe4d97829cd32fe662
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$96.89
Total PnL
$-24.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 3?
97 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$96.89
$0.19
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 9?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 1?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 12?
1650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
1150 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 57°F or below on October 17?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 3?$96.71Jun 3, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.33Jun 3, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?$95.09Jun 3, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?$95.00May 28, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$95.09May 28, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$95.00May 24, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$95.10May 24, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$95.00May 19, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$95.10May 19, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$95.00May 14, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill a dozen eggs cost between $3.25–3.50 in April?$1.17May 14, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?$93.09May 14, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?$93.01May 12, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dozen eggs cost between $3.25–3.50 in April?$1.17May 12, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.33May 12, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?$96.30May 12, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?$96.21May 8, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?$1.22May 8, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$1.30May 8, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$93.09May 8, 07:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $64.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 09:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 03:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".