Buttery-Serval
0xf5c21ad455c03693525d813cf3a7844e305dff39
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$12.37
Total PnL
$-8.47
Realised
$-0.04
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.20
$0.16
- YES
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$1.17
$0.14
- FAZE UP NEXT
Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs LEO (BO3) - United21 Group B
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$1.13
$0.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$1.13
$0.10
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$1.12
$0.09
- NO
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.11
$0.00
- YES
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 18?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$1.11
$0.06
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 4?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$1.09
$0.00
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.08
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?$1.07Jul 4, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?$2.20Jul 4, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 4?$2.21Jul 4, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 4?$3.30Jul 4, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?$1.03Jul 4, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?$1.05Jul 4, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$5.21Jul 4, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?$1.03Jul 4, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$6.30Jul 4, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C or higher on July 5?$6.40Jul 4, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C or higher on July 5?$7.50Jul 4, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 18?$1.05Jul 4, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation be 4.3% in June?$9.48Jul 4, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?$1.03Jul 4, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.3% in June?$10.60Jul 4, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs LEO (BO3) - United21 Group B$1.00Jul 4, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 5?$1.01Jun 23, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$1.02Jun 23, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWashington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$1.05Jun 23, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?$1.07Jun 23, 03:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 04:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 08:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.