0xf5d20bb62b6e87666efd1d5bd5c89380e60f94ae
0xf5d20bb62b6e87666efd1d5bd5c89380e60f94ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$2.84
Total PnL
$-355.98
Realised
$127.56
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch
10 shares @ 29.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.84
$-0.16
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
1527 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
1181 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.96
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
513 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-39.54
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
400 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-30.36
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
252 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-11.99
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
250 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
209 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTread FDV above $100M one day after launch$3.15Jun 3, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$82.71Jun 3, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$101.32Jun 3, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?$329.49Jun 2, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?$156.58Jun 2, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?$101.40Jun 2, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?$101.48Jun 2, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?$355.65Jun 2, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?$404.67Jun 2, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$0.12Apr 15, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$0.50Apr 15, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$1.35Mar 17, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.36Mar 17, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$1.61Mar 17, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 17, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.44Mar 17, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$5.00Mar 17, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$1.00Mar 16, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.00Mar 15, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.00Mar 15, 21:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $37.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 12:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 18:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".