Wiggly-Addition
0xf5d74bb131e53190a663c111615d2bba9b35f385
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-21.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63–64°F on May 24?
23 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2025$0.00
$-3.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 73°F or higher on May 24?
23 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2025$0.00
$-3.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 69–70°F on May 24?
23 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2025$0.00
$-3.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 65–66°F on May 24?
23 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2025$0.00
$-3.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 62°F or below on May 24?
23 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2025$0.00
$-3.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 67–68°F on May 24?
23 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2025$0.00
$-3.54
Recent activity
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in London on May 24?$0.00May 24, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 71–72°F on May 24?$11.10May 23, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 71–72°F on May 24?$10.11May 23, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 60°F or below on May 23?$21.22May 23, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 60°F or below on May 23?$21.07May 23, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 56°F or below on May 23?$9.47May 23, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 56°F or below on May 23?$11.46May 23, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 56°F or below on May 23?$20.31May 22, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 54°F or below on May 22?$20.00May 22, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 54°F or below on May 22?$19.60May 21, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be between 66–67°F on May 21?$3.60May 21, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be between 66–67°F on May 21?$1.00May 21, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 58–59°F on May 21?$10.74May 21, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 73°F or higher on May 20?$4.70May 21, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 58–59°F on May 21?$10.47May 21, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 71°F or higher on May 20?$1.92May 20, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 66–67°F on May 21?$4.00May 20, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 73°F or higher on May 20?$2.00May 20, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 71°F or higher on May 20?$1.81May 20, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 73°F or higher on May 20?$2.00May 20, 02:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $8.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 02:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 15:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.