Angry-Nobody
0xf5dc834a9a821c6d3f842f53ac608ecd4afedec3
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$91.65
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$69.54
Win rate
89%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 30?
36 shares @ 75.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$30.13
$3.19
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 30?
40 shares @ 73.4¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$25.74
$-3.77
- NO
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
26 shares @ 62.3¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.51
$5.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on July 30?
29 shares @ 53.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$14.28
$-0.86
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
10417 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-23.89
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?
3713 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.85
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
1624 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-15.23
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
1254 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-12.54
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
546 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-27.72
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
474 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.18
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on July 29?$17.09Jul 29, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on July 29?$16.14Jul 29, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 29?$20.42Jul 29, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 29?$21.53Jul 29, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 29?$15.63Jul 29, 21:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 29?$41.15Jul 29, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 29?$17.47Jul 29, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 29?$15.98Jul 29, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 29?$17.68Jul 29, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 29?$34.75Jul 29, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 29?$18.11Jul 29, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 29?$17.93Jul 29, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on July 30?$15.03Jul 29, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 31?$15.11Jul 29, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 31?$14.87Jul 29, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 31?$0.64Jul 29, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on July 31?$15.07Jul 29, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on July 31?$3.99Jul 29, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 30?$15.23Jul 29, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on July 29?$16.16Jul 29, 16:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
89% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $11.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 01:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 22:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.