Angry-Nobody
0xf5dc834a9a821c6d3f842f53ac608ecd4afedec3
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$170.12
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$69.54
Win rate
89%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 29?
41 shares @ 54.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$41.13
$18.63
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 29?
35 shares @ 61.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$34.73
$13.29
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 30?
36 shares @ 75.5¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$30.67
$3.73
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 30?
40 shares @ 73.4¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$27.35
$-2.16
- NO
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
26 shares @ 62.3¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.51
$5.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on July 30?
29 shares @ 53.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$14.70
$-0.43
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 29?
35 shares @ 58.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.02
$-20.74
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 29?
32 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.02
$-15.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
10417 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-23.89
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?
3713 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on July 31?$15.07Jul 29, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on July 31?$3.99Jul 29, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 30?$15.23Jul 29, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on July 29?$16.16Jul 29, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 29?$20.06Jul 29, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 30?$4.14Jul 29, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 31?$15.07Jul 29, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 31?$15.08Jul 29, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 31?$15.28Jul 29, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 31?$15.23Jul 29, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 31?$3.00Jul 29, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 31?$15.30Jul 29, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 30?$14.96Jul 29, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 30?$0.69Jul 29, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 30?$15.10Jul 29, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 30?$5.13Jul 29, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 31?$15.25Jul 29, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 30?$11.74Jul 29, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 30?$12.28Jul 29, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 30?$15.16Jul 29, 08:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
89% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $11.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 19:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 18:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.