Warm-Tonic
0xf5dc9de9adb8e7a6ee78800196b62f36ade62a96
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$15.83
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
277 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-76.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
214 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 3AM ET
197 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
195 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-85.78
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on November 21?
185 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-28.68
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
179 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
167 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
152 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 6AM ET
142 shares @ 23.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-33.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$14.80Dec 20, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$5.00Dec 20, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$1.00Dec 20, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$5.00Dec 20, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$3.00Dec 20, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$11.23Dec 20, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$7.00Dec 20, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$10.00Dec 20, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$5.00Dec 20, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$4.00Dec 20, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$24.84Dec 20, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$5.00Dec 20, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$1.00Dec 20, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$10.00Dec 20, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$4.00Dec 20, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$0.30Dec 20, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$3.00Dec 20, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$2.00Dec 20, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$20.00Dec 20, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$3.00Dec 20, 03:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $7.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 11:13 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 20, 08:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.