Plaintive-Terrapin
0xf5dd7fdf7253679207ae7da3bd9b371798baa04e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$4.1K
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 79.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.2K
$1.2K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$850.75
$-1.2K
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
2457 shares @ 81.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 2?
1052 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026?
321 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
310 shares @ 64.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 14?
303 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's video get between 66 and 68 million views on day 3?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 9?
86 shares @ 57.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 2?
82 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.36Aug 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.36Aug 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.36Aug 2, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?$48.56Aug 1, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$400.80Aug 1, 04:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Aug 1, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?$50.00Jul 31, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?$1.00Jul 31, 20:50 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4.1KJul 31, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 31?$1.0KJul 31, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 31?$999.07Jul 31, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 31?$0.56Jul 31, 15:43 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4.0KJul 31, 14:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.36Jul 31, 00:11 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 31, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$100.00Jul 30, 05:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.36Jul 30, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 29?$54.14Jul 29, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?$783.57Jul 29, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?$506.44Jul 29, 15:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$5.0K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 4, 06:10 UTC → Jun 4, 06:07 UTC
- BUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 4?$5.0K@100¢Jun 4, 06:07 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 4?
$5.0K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $333.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 03:42 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.