Juicy-Journalist
0xf5fbff9abe8db2be11957f4ecce259d076be6eb5
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
105
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-7.9K
Realised
$97.03
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 105- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
679 shares @ 63.6¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$417.47
$-14.08
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?
267 shares @ 60.4¢·now 77.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$207.42
$46.09
- YES
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?
222 shares @ 68.1¢·now 49.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$110.73
$-40.70
- YES
Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?
280 shares @ 51.1¢·now 34.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$95.77
$-47.27
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
285 shares @ 68.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$77.02
$-116.95
- YES
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?
139 shares @ 63.1¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$56.45
$-31.57
- YES
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
307 shares @ 41.5¢·now 16.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.64
$-77.86
- YES
Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?
126 shares @ 59.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$42.16
$-32.09
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
52 shares @ 23.0¢·now 17.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$9.02
$-2.94
- YES
Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
208 shares @ 8.6¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.82
$-12.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$9.70Jul 21, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$2.10Jul 21, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$3.77Jul 21, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$2.06Jul 21, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$2.12Jul 21, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$2.07Jul 21, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$2.04Jul 21, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$2.07Jul 21, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.02Jul 21, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.49Jul 19, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.69Jul 19, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.87Jul 19, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.95Jul 19, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.48Jul 19, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.03Jul 19, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.17Jul 19, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31.35Jul 19, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.20Jul 19, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.91Jul 19, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)$6.94Jul 19, 03:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
44% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $7.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 16:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 17:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.