0xf600ce2619ac3342d1427d574243a2442e618836
0xf600ce2619ac3342d1427d574243a2442e618836
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$191.46
Total PnL
$0.04
Realised
$-1.08
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
12 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$11.40
$0.15
- NO
Will Paraguay reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 95.9¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$11.32
$0.07
- NO
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
8 shares @ 95.8¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.51
$0.01
- YES
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$5.60
$0.35
- NO
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 90.9¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.39
$0.14
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.99
$0.39
- NO
Will Ghana be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$4.94
$0.23
- NO
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 96.8¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.89
$0.04
- NO
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.88
$0.07
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 95.7¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.88
$0.09
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$5.01Jul 3, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$4.60Jul 3, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 15?$4.60Jul 3, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$4.59Jul 3, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?$4.64Jul 3, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on July 31, 2026?$4.16Jul 3, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.02Jul 3, 08:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?$4.83Jul 2, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$4.26Jul 2, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$4.36Jul 2, 05:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?$4.76Jul 2, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by July 31?$4.88Jul 2, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.86Jul 2, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in July?$4.75Jul 2, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 15?$11.25Jul 2, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$4.67Jul 2, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$7.51Jul 2, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.26Jul 2, 00:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $5.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 18:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.