Glamorous-Advancement
0xf6021f0ae8cc2ec3f473b52cf88f0ca172cfe915
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
123
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-153.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 123- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 2+ times during Japan troop visit on October 28?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" during his AI speech on July 23?
67 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-14.69
- NO
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?
41 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
39 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 4–11?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-10-22?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will AJ Auxerre vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?
8 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- EASTERN MICHIGAN
Eastern Michigan vs. Buffalo
8 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYJets vs. Canucks$2.00Nov 11, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlue Jackets vs. Kraken$3.00Nov 11, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Jazz$3.00Nov 11, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. 76ers$3.00Nov 11, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Inter win on 2025-11-09?$1.41Nov 11, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Hornets$3.90Nov 11, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMEagles vs. Packers$5.88Nov 11, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Bulls$2.00Nov 10, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. Magic$3.00Nov 10, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Hornets$3.00Nov 10, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEagles vs. Packers$3.00Nov 10, 17:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-09?$1.52Nov 9, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-08?$1.41Nov 9, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-05?$1.00Nov 5, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-05?$1.00Nov 5, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?$1.00Nov 5, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?$1.00Nov 5, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter win on 2025-11-09?$1.00Nov 5, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atalanta win on 2025-11-09?$1.00Nov 5, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus win on 2025-11-08?$1.00Nov 5, 10:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 08:16 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 11, 15:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.