Unsightly-Capacity
0xf6076843a5be3e872127e880e785080c4f1134b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$4.03
Total PnL
$16.03
Realised
$14.80
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 67.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.86
$0.60
- NO
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by April 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 76.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.09
$0.25
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
1 shares @ 65.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.07
$0.37
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$2.09Apr 5, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $150M one day after launch?$25.07Apr 5, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $150M one day after launch?$5.00Apr 2, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?$8.57Apr 2, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$4.21Apr 2, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?$8.01Apr 2, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$3.96Apr 2, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $150M one day after launch?$3.00Mar 30, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$3.54Mar 30, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?$3.00Mar 30, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Havrylivka by April 30, 2026?$1.18Mar 30, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)$0.00Mar 29, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)$2.53Mar 28, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$8.40Mar 28, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$8.03Mar 27, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$3.60Mar 27, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $150M one day after launch?$3.50Mar 27, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$10.97Mar 27, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)$5.00Mar 27, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?$10.00Mar 26, 14:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $6.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 09:28 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 06:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.