Substantial-Raccoon
0xf610588ca8833dc6d23bc38df5f0a798dcea27e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$5.75
Total PnL
$-20.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.24
$2.24
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 15.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US civil war in 2025?
55 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy booster?
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
David Baszucki out as Roblox CEO in 2025?
14 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?
11 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Trump say "Natural Gas" or "Nord Stream" during events with Polish president on September 3?
10 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will Schlep be unbanned from Roblox before October?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?$1.04May 21, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$2.00Jan 2, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Jan 2, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMElon no longer world's richest before 2026?$16.67Jan 2, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dick Schoof become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$0.13Oct 29, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.00Oct 29, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.67Oct 29, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon no longer world's richest before 2026?$3.00Sep 11, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS civil war in 2025?$3.00Sep 10, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Natural Gas" or "Nord Stream" during events with Polish president on September 3?$2.80Aug 30, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?$2.50Aug 26, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$0.70Aug 26, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$0.18Aug 26, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$0.18Aug 26, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Japan" during events with South Korean president on August 25?$0.00Aug 25, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Japan" during events with South Korean president on August 25?$2.38Aug 25, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy booster?$1.00Aug 25, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy explode?$1.00Aug 25, 14:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $111K on August 25?$5.06Aug 25, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $111K on August 25?$1.25Aug 25, 09:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 20, 14:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 06:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".