Trim-Depression
0xf6145299e71bd641270b67ad8f45cab689529c6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-220.90
Realised
$14.87
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
204 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
183 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
150 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 15?
101 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say “Crazy” or “Amazing” 5+ times during UFC 250?$0.39Jun 15, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?$4.46Jun 15, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$2.01Jun 15, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$2.07Jun 15, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$2.14Jun 15, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$2.14Jun 15, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$30.84Jun 15, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan win on 2026-06-17?$2.92Jun 15, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$4.89Jun 15, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$10.37Jun 15, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$10.31Jun 15, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$10.74Jun 15, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$10.29Jun 15, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$32.71Jun 15, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$31.11Jun 15, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$2.14Jun 15, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$2.06Jun 15, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$2.13Jun 15, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$10.41Jun 15, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$10.43Jun 15, 20:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $9.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 19:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 21:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.