Wallet profile

Hard-Soot

0xf614654c3d486712f86e1f5d8777df736c2128ba

activity 91/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

91/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

3

Open notional

$1.5K

Total PnL

$14.09

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$21.2K

Trades

2

Buy share

51%

Window

Jun 17, 16:30 UTC → Jun 18, 15:55 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $10.9K

Wallet edge sanity

Do not mirror

0/100
read-only

Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.

No resolved edge sample

Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.

High mirror risk

Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.

Late-entry profile

Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Blocked

0/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.

Wallet signal
block

Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.

Resolved-only track record
block

Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$21.2K

2 trades

30d volume

$21.2K

2 trades

Buy share

51%

Sample

low

2 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Nottingham 2: Christopher O'Connell vs Benjamin Bonzi

$10.9K · 51% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

Nottingham 2: Christopher O'Connell vs Benjamin Bonzi51% of recorded volume$10.9KHalle Open: Learner Tien vs Felix Auger-Aliassime49% of recorded volume$10.3K

Profile dimensions

Activity68 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry0 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk84 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
32
Avg trade size
$379.53
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jun 22, 16:09 UTC
Last active
Jun 23, 12:15 UTC
Win rate sample
0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on PolymarketView on Polygonscan
updated 12:34:15 UTC·src:Polymarket Data