Surprised-Grabbag
0xf6177118f0e7607cc222a8581026f7e62abe7c7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-221.64
Realised
$4.35
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
2872 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-25.26
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3000 on July 15 at 5PM ET?
82 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on September 16?
62 shares @ 49.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-30.60
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on September 17?
55 shares @ 40.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-22.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on September 28?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on September 14?
31 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between 4400 and 4500 on August 18 at 5PM ET?
23 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on September 19?
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 18 at 5PM ET?
20 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.88
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on September 13?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$0.96Oct 25, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?$8.63Oct 25, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Oct 25, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.08Oct 25, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 14?$2.53Oct 19, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on October 13?$3.17Oct 14, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 15?$2.00Oct 12, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 14?$2.00Oct 12, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 14?$2.00Oct 12, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 15?$1.00Oct 12, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on October 12?$3.03Oct 12, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMFrench election called by October 10?$4.72Oct 12, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on October 10?$3.59Oct 10, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on October 10?$1.50Oct 10, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on October 10?$3.00Oct 10, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 12?$1.00Oct 10, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 16?$1.40Oct 10, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on October 13?$2.00Oct 10, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on October 12?$2.00Oct 10, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 11?$2.00Oct 10, 10:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $2.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 5, 15:39 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 25, 09:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".