Occasional-Danger
0xf61798aad30b6a4f05b79478172eb08aecb1f11d
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$31.86
Total PnL
$-5.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 March 23-29?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$10.02
$0.02
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
7 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.78
$0.68
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 27?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$5.00
$0.01
- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
4 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.05
$0.05
- NO
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
5 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$2.00Mar 27, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 27?$5.00Mar 27, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,800 March 23-29?$10.00Mar 27, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?$4.00Mar 27, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 20?$3.00Mar 27, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 20?$4.00Mar 27, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$4.04Mar 27, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMFlying Tulip FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?$5.04Mar 27, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 20?$6.01Mar 27, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 20?$3.00Feb 19, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 20?$4.00Feb 19, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 20?$6.00Feb 19, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlying Tulip FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?$5.00Feb 19, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.20 on February 2?$5.05Feb 19, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on February 2?$6.01Feb 19, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $140 on February 2?$7.01Feb 19, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.20 on February 2?$5.00Feb 1, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $140 on February 2?$7.00Feb 1, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$4.00Feb 1, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$4.00Feb 1, 18:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $5.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 13, 11:29 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 11:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.