Affectionate-Scrim
0xf61af1b17d6ca7f6617fb79888280243036d0d72
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$15.15
Total PnL
$-91.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$15.15
$10.15
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
14240 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-14.24
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
1017 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
721 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin close above $140K on July 31?
360 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by Sunday, July 27?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
85 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $250 in July?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$4.24Jul 27, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$6.00Jul 27, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$1.00Jul 27, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin close above $140K on July 31?$5.00Jul 27, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$5.00Jul 27, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$10.00Jul 27, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?$5.00Jul 27, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $120K on July 30?$5.00Jul 27, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 28?$5.00Jul 27, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by Sunday, July 27?$1.00Jul 27, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $250 in July?$1.00Jul 27, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $220 in July?$2.00Jul 27, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $210 in July?$10.00Jul 27, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?$1.00Jul 27, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$10.00Jul 27, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$10.00Jul 27, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$25.00Jul 27, 22:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $6.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 22:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 23:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.