Giant-Castanet
0xf61b02de43f97169cd5e533792f1f799cd3ff614
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-533.73
Realised
$81.26
Win rate
79%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
825 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-39.97
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
367 shares @ 33.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-124.18
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
344 shares @ 37.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-128.23
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
214 shares @ 32.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-69.20
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
159 shares @ 38.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-61.24
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
157 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-34.92
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
125 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-39.56
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 11, 6PM ET
80 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-13.93
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
68 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-11.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$20.14Jun 18, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$12.53Jun 18, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$20.87Jun 18, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$10.29Jun 18, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$1.06Jun 18, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$7.06Jun 18, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$10.50Jun 18, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$10.44Jun 18, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$20.00Mar 17, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$10.00Mar 17, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$20.00Mar 17, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$20.00Mar 17, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$10.00Mar 17, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$10.00Mar 17, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$9.00Mar 17, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$6.00Mar 17, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - March 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$25.06Mar 17, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$9.00Mar 17, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$5.00Mar 17, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - March 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$45.65Mar 17, 12:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
79% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 11:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 01:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.