Damp-Stable
0xf6287ae252ed0e8717ef0f518b43e1b4f477527d
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-430.34
Realised
$-119.61
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 20?
231 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 25?
197 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.77
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 16?
168 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.69
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 27?
154 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-41.75
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 6?
149 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-4.40
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
139 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-37.47
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 17?
129 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 19?
115 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 26?
108 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.56
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 19?
106 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 15?$90.33Aug 15, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 15?$88.79Aug 14, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 20?$1.98Jul 20, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 16?$79.49Jul 16, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 16?$0.25Jul 16, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 16?$77.17Jul 16, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?$36.58Jun 5, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?$1.48Jun 4, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 1?$1.16May 31, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 29?$56.77May 29, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 29?$55.01May 28, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 25?$1.89May 25, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 22?$66.54May 22, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 22?$64.81May 22, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 31?$17.55May 15, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 8?$42.68May 8, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 8?$40.29May 7, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 29?$50.73May 7, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 23?$0.00May 1, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMElizabeth City State Vikings vs. Norfolk State Spartans$0.00Apr 25, 17:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $25.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 00:03 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 16:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.