Sparse-Persimmon
0xf6308e0b110913034829c0010ded16b69cd50825
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$22.09
Total PnL
$-6.68
Realised
$-0.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
12 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$11.51
$0.51
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.23
$0.23
- NO
Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$2.47
$0.00
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.11
$0.11
- NO
Will the government shutdown end November 18?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$1.58
$0.00
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Graham Gori win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by October 15?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$299.40Nov 12, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Gori win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?$2.00Nov 11, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$3.00Nov 11, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$11.00Nov 11, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$302.17Nov 11, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown end November 18?$315.50Nov 11, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 18?$317.50Nov 11, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$1.35Nov 11, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMChuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader by October 31?$2.02Nov 11, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMTrump signs bill selling federal land before September?$2.04Nov 11, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roy Cooper announce NC senate run before Oct?$2.86Nov 11, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMFact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?$3.09Nov 11, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMRoyals vs. Diamondbacks$5.17Nov 11, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Military Edition$1.00Sep 22, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?$3.00Sep 22, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYJimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by October 15?$1.00Sep 22, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$1.00Sep 22, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine joins NATO in 2025?$2.13Sep 22, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoyals vs. Diamondbacks$3.00Jul 5, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump signs bill selling federal land before September?$2.00Jul 5, 07:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $44.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 09:29 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 12, 05:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.