Confused-Employ
0xf639a53def726cf9e22c49afc8d9f904699cefd8
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$212.31
Win rate
79%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 28?
396 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-15.57
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19?
269 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-112.82
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 21?
232 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 4AM ET
230 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-48.42
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 2?
212 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-57.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on March 29?
201 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 19?
180 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-86.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 29?
170 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-38.11
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 3?
170 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-60.27
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 1?
165 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-29.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs$8.79Jul 11, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$12.62Jul 8, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$4.87Jul 6, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$9.93Jul 6, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$2.07Jul 6, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$12.05Jul 6, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.03Jul 6, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$10.12Jul 6, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$5.14Jul 6, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$10.64Jul 6, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$5.19Jul 6, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$10.88Jul 6, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$9.96Jul 6, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$2.40Jul 5, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$3.75Jul 4, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$10.24Jul 4, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$5.08Jul 4, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$30.39Jul 4, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage$15.12Jul 4, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage$14.99Jul 4, 05:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
79% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $6.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 16:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 13:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.