Mild-Plight
0xf639c1f022255aa9ed5f6bf3b066347911f05838
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$6.90Jul 1, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$22.75Jul 1, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$21.75Jun 24, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$7.50Jun 24, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$24.98Jun 21, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$5.35May 17, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$20.27May 17, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$7.22May 16, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$23.10May 11, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$5.60May 8, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$23.10May 3, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$29.05May 3, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$19.69Apr 28, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?$0.00Apr 28, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$2.41Nov 13, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$2.00Oct 25, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?$0.39Sep 22, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?$11.90Sep 22, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?$0.17Sep 22, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?$0.12Sep 22, 20:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $11.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 7, 15:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 14:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.