Shimmering-Wharf
0xf6451520903a0ff5b392a463665d78f19d8c0d16
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.5K
Realised
$715.96
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
127589 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- NO
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
64244 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
53140 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
20400 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-510.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?
19582 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-180.00
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?
12816 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-192.24
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
12598 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-999.98
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?
11500 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-359.74
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
10500 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-639.99
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?
10148 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$480.00Oct 28, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1000.00Oct 24, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$500.00Sep 16, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$600.00Sep 16, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEagles vs. Chiefs$500.00Sep 14, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Eagles (-1.5)$45.00Sep 14, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Steelers (-3.5)$40.00Sep 14, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$200.00Sep 14, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: LSU (-7.0)$194.31Sep 14, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: LSU (-7.0)$100.00Sep 13, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: South Carolina (-3.0)$200.00Sep 13, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$200.00Sep 13, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$200.00Jul 29, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$200.00Jul 28, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?$500.00Jul 26, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$500.00Jul 26, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?$180.00Jul 26, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$1000.00Jul 25, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$500.00May 7, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$10.00May 7, 03:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $168.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 03:49 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 28, 19:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.