Noteworthy-Broom
0xf645c50839f7f1662741e0f016733f6d7e91b8c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$161.29
Win rate
75%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31?
720 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.97
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
345 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.70
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10AM ET
220 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7AM ET
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- WARRIORS
Thunder vs. Warriors
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 28, 7AM ET
200 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 28, 2025$0.00
$-32.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 24?
196 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-14.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7?
160 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$0.06Jul 21, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11AM ET$0.50Jul 21, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$1.40Jul 21, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9AM ET$5.00Jul 21, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9AM ET$0.50Jul 21, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 21?$0.40Jul 21, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9AM ET$0.50Jul 21, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$1.04Jul 21, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$1.00Jul 21, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8AM ET$0.50Jul 21, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$1.00Jul 21, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$1.06Jul 21, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.04Jul 21, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6AM ET$4.68Jul 21, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6AM ET$2.00Jul 21, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$1.03Jul 21, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5AM ET$1.05Jul 21, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$0.66Jul 21, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$1.00Jul 21, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$1.04Jul 21, 09:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
48/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 16:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 15:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.