Grown-Fairness
0xf646fae74a0051557587d4926ba377e815dcec54
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-114.98
Realised
$0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Israel not strike Yemen between September 8-15 ET?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce an increase at the September meeting?
4234 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
3562 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
1922 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?
1031 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
147 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12PM ET
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$4.33Sep 18, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$4.95Sep 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$35.00Sep 16, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$10.00Sep 14, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$10.00Sep 14, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena win the USDH ticker?$10.00Sep 11, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?$10.00Sep 11, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel not strike Yemen between September 8-15 ET?$10.00Sep 10, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce an increase at the September meeting?$10.00Sep 10, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12PM ET$10.00Sep 10, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$10.01Sep 10, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$10.00Sep 10, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$10.00Sep 10, 16:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $11.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 10, 16:33 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 18, 06:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".