Misguided-Yak
0xf649d02f53e253e56bef58a1530679e2c230e980
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$16.15
Total PnL
$-9.99
Realised
$2.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
3 shares @ 93.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$3.20
$0.19
- YES
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.64
$0.64
- YES
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.79
$-0.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$1.05Jun 8, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$3.17Jun 8, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.07Jun 8, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$3.16Jun 8, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$3.01Jun 8, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$8.13Jun 8, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$3.08Jun 8, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$3.09Jun 8, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.07Jun 8, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.07Jun 8, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$7.14Jun 8, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.06Jun 8, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Athletics win the 2026 World Series?$0.86Jun 8, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?$0.97Jun 8, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?$0.91Jun 8, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?$1.03Jun 8, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?$1.05Jun 8, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLSam Altman in jail by June 30?$0.00Jun 7, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?$1.07Jun 7, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?$1.07Jun 7, 05:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 17:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 22:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.