Unwelcome-Duration
0xf64b27147394e63417e47a1c8ce74232898e8adc
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$55.49
Total PnL
$-9.82
Realised
$-0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
13 shares @ 62.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$13.28
$5.03
- NO
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
12 shares @ 77.4¢·now 76.4¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$9.21
$-0.13
- NO
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
19 shares @ 44.0¢·now 42.1¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$8.02
$-0.36
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 11?
4 shares @ 82.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$3.79
$0.65
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12?
4 shares @ 86.6¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$3.42
$0.28
- NO
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?
3 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$2.73
$0.66
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 12?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$2.64
$1.59
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 6-12?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$2.38
$0.29
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.20
$0.10
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
4 shares @ 56.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.19
$0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$1.06Jul 10, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$1.05Jul 10, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$1.01Jul 10, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$1.04Jul 10, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$1.07Jul 10, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$1.07Jul 10, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$1.07Jul 10, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$1.08Jul 10, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$1.09Jul 10, 20:53 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on July 10?$0.00Jul 10, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 10?$0.00Jul 10, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 2.5$0.00Jul 10, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 10?$0.00Jul 10, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on July 10?$1.17Jul 10, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 2.5$2.05Jul 10, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 10?$6.47Jul 10, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mjallby AIF win on 2026-07-11?$0.00Jul 10, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)$1.07Jul 10, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-07-10?$1.01Jul 10, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.08Jul 10, 07:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $0.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 01:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 21:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.